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COOThe Cooper Companies, Inc.

Fundamentals Score: 59.2/100 (Fair Fundamentals) · Healthcare

Description

The Cooper Companies, Inc. (COO) operates as a global medical device firm, primarily focused on developing, producing, and distributing products through two distinct business units: CooperVision and CooperSurgical. CooperVision specializes in contact lenses.

Score Breakdown

Growth
64.4/100
weight: 45%
Quality / Profitability
44.6/100
weight: 40%
Financial Health
82.9/100
weight: 15%
Valuation Context (informational only — not part of the score)
Neutral vs. its own history
Entry Timing (informational only — not part of the score)
Neutral

Live Market DataPrice updated: 1h ago

P/E (TTM)
59.0
Yield
0.02%
RSI (14)
37.3
vs SMA20
-5.68%
vs SMA50
-4.21%
vs SMA200
-5.17%
Analyst Target
$76
+9.2%
2 analysts
AI Theoretical Price
$81
+16.5%
as of 2026-08-27

AI Deep-Dive Analysis

Analysis as of 2026-08-27 - price/technical figures below reflect that date, not live market data

As of 2026-08-27, COO trades at $70.96 (down ~2.4% on the day) with a $13.8B market cap, RSI at 38.1 and price below its 20/50/200-day SMAs. The company recently posted record Q2 FY2026 revenue and a non-GAAP EPS beat, but the stock has been weak/lower YTD on APAC softness and cautious forward guidance.

AI Sentiment:Neutral

Sentiment is a tug-of-war: Q2 FY2026 revenue rose ~7.9% YoY to $1.0815B and non-GAAP EPS of $1.21 beat consensus, yet the GAAP quarter swung to a loss on litigation-related charges and full-year organic guidance is only 3.5-6%. Analysts are mostly Buy-rated (16 buy, 8 hold, 1 sell) with a consensus target near $76.80, but recent target cuts and deteriorating technicals keep the market cautious. Net read: constructive fundamentals, lukewarm price action.

Quarterly Trend

Revenue trend is steadily upward and slightly accelerating: quarterly revenue went from ~$930M in Jul-2023 to ~$1.003B in Apr-2025 to $1.0815B in Apr-2026, with the latest quarter up 7.9% YoY. Gross margin has stayed high, around 64-68%. The Apr-2026 quarter's GAAP operating income of -$31M and EPS of -$0.40 are distorted by the CooperSurgical litigation/strategic-review charge, not an operating collapse; the prior three quarters had GAAP operating income of $140M-$213M. So the recent GAAP dip is a one-time blip, not a structural margin break.

Valuation Assessment

On trailing GAAP numbers, COO looks expensive: 60.1x TTM EPS, 1.68x book, 3.27x sales. But TTM GAAP EPS of $1.21 is heavily depressed by litigation and amortization charges. On forward non-GAAP EPS of $4.63, the stock trades at only ~15.3x, well below its 5-year average P/E of ~35.9 and below its 5-year average P/S of 4.85 versus 3.27 now. The deterministic valuation context is 'Neutral vs. its own history,' and the cheap forward multiple reflects decelerating/mid-single-digit growth and APAC headwinds. On balance, I'd call it fairly valued with a modest margin of safety if guidance holds.

Price vs. Earnings Playbook

At ~15.3x forward non-GAAP EPS, the market is pricing in skepticism that COO can grow much beyond the guided $4.58-4.66 EPS. If Q3 FY2026 (due September 9, 2026) shows APAC stabilization and margin recovery, the stock is underwriting normalized earnings too cheaply. If growth stays tepid or CooperSurgical remains a drag, 15x is simply fair for a mid-single-digit grower. Earnings beat once already; the play is whether that can repeat.

Technical Picture

As of 2026-08-27, RSI stood at 38.08—weak but not yet oversold below 30. Price was -5.31% below the 20-day SMA, -1.82% below the 50-day, and -3.37% below the 200-day SMA, so the trend is down and momentum is negative. The 52-week range of $58.89-$89.83 shows the stock is range-bound rather than broken. Entry-timing implication: wait for a reclaim of the 50-day or a deeper washout near the low $60s rather than chasing weakness.

Macro Factors
  • Persistent APAC softness, especially Japan and China, is capping growth and weighing on sentiment.
  • Higher-for-longer interest rates keep med-tech valuations compressed and put a premium on balance-sheet quality.
  • Healthcare sector rotation has left COO lagging broader healthcare/XLV year-to-date.
  • Litigation/regulatory overhang around CooperSurgical's embryo culture media recall has partially cleared, but regulatory watch continues.
  • Demographic tailwinds in myopia management and fertility treatment provide a structural demand floor.
Key Catalysts
  • Q3 FY2026 earnings on September 9, 2026—consensus EPS ~$1.11-1.12; watch APAC commentary and margin trajectory.
  • Potential strategic action, partnership, or divestiture involving CooperSurgical now that the litigation overhang is resolved.
  • Continued adoption of myopia-management and daily silicone hydrogel contact lenses.
  • A recovery in Japan/China demand would likely drive guidance upside.
Key Risks
  • APAC consumer weakness persists longer than expected, especially in Japan and China.
  • Further litigation, recall, or impairment charges could hit GAAP earnings again.
  • Intense competition in contact lenses and fertility/women's health could pressure market share and pricing.
  • Mid-single-digit growth leaves limited margin for error—any miss on Q3 or FY guidance could trigger further multiple compression.
Investment Thesis

COO is not a clear buy or short at $70.96. The franchise is solid—high gross margins, growing demand in contact lenses and fertility, low debt—but growth is mid-single-digit and APAC is soft. At ~15.3x forward EPS, valuation is reasonable, not a screaming bargain, and the market is waiting for proof of sustained acceleration. I lean neutral: hold/accumulate into weakness, and get more constructive on a confirmed APAC inflection or post-Q3 stabilization.

AI Theoretical Price Methodology

Calculated by applying a 17.5x justified P/E to consensus forward non-GAAP EPS of $4.63 (guidance midpoint $4.58-4.66). 17.5x is a modest premium to the current ~15.3x forward multiple but below historical averages, reflecting mid-single-digit organic growth, high gross margins, low leverage, and lingering APAC uncertainty.

AI Lean: NeutralConfidence: Medium

AI Review of the Deterministic Score

Agree

The 59.2 'Fair Fundamentals' score is broadly fair, but I would shade it modestly higher on normalized earnings. The formula's quality/profitability score of 44.6 is dragged down by the Apr-2026 GAAP net loss of -$77.9M and -$31M operating income—a litigation-related, one-time charge rather than ongoing operations. Normalizing to non-GAAP profitability would lift operating margin and ROIC, likely moving the overall score into the low-to-mid 60s, but not changing the essential 'Fair' band. The growth and balance-sheet scores align with a stable, low-leverage, mid-single-digit grower, so I don't see a two-tier error in the deterministic number.

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only, not financial advice.